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Early forecasts are in on Accuweather’s 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast and Colorado State University’s 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast. They vary some but basically look for an ‘average’ season.

An ‘average’ season has the following probabilities of having a major hurricane make landfall:

  • For the entire U.S. coastline the average for the last century is 52 percent.
  • For the U.S. East Coast including the Florida peninsula average for the last century is 31 percent.
  • For the Gulf Coast from the Florida panhandle westward to Brownsville average for the last century is 30 percent.
  • For the Caribbean average for the last century is 42 percent.

But as we’ve seen with Harvey, Katrina, Sandy, Irene and more, it just takes one.  Hopefully, we won’t see a lot of graphics like these on the weather this year!

Sandy projected paths 10262012 1 300x147 - Hurricane Forecasts for 2019