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It has been a record-setting season so far, and it looks like the conditions are in place to become a much more active Atlantic hurricane season.

To date, there have been 9 named storms (a record).  On average, the 9th named storm forms on Oct. 4th.

The original prediction from Accuweather.com was 14 to 20 tropical storms.  An updated outlook from NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) is now predicting 19-25 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 7-11 will become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater), including 3-6 major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).   The average season produces 12 named storms, including six hurricanes of which three become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, or 5).

Conditions are primed for active season as we get closer to peak hurricane season, with some of the factors – very warm water, decreasing wind shear, less dry air/dust, low pressure in developing area, and more – being stronger than in most years.

In the Northeast, we are more likely to have a storm track toward us later in the season.  That hasn’t held true this year as we’ve already had one early in the season.

Hang on.

Superstorm Sandy hits Milford

“Sandy” lands in Milford, CT

 

kyle (885)